Fundamental × Systematic

See how the market thinks.
See where it's wrong.

Markets price consensus, not truth. We map the collective interpretation—narratives, beliefs, assumptions—and compare it to evidence.

The Three Layers of Market Reality

Evidence

What Is

Belief

What They Think

Price

What Is Priced

The market's model is coherent.

Evidence, belief, and price tell the same story. The question is: what would disrupt this equilibrium?

The market prices consensus, not truth. We map where the collective interpretation diverges from evidence—and what would resolve it.

WHAT WE SURFACE

Not better data.
Better interpretation.

Everyone has the same filings. The edge is understanding what the market believes about them—and where that belief is fragile.

  • What management claims vs. what they deliver
  • Where consensus is cascade, not conviction
  • What price implies vs. what evidence shows
  • What would break the thesis
reality_brief.md● LIVE
ENTITY
ASX:WOW — Woolworths Group
MANAGEMENT CLAIM
"Automation will deliver $200M savings by FY25"
CREDIBILITY: LOW
TRACK RECORD
Historical delivery: 40% of target
Similar claims (n=4): 62% avg miss
CROSS-ENTITY CHECK
COL reports 80bps share gain.
WOW claims "stable share."
→ Inconsistency detected
MONITORS ACTIVE
├── ACCC: "remedy", "divestiture"
├── Fair Work: Award decisions
└── Management: Tone shift on guidance

TWO APPLICATIONS

Different markets. Different edges.

Deep Domain Research🔬

Where expertise is the moat

Mining. Biotech. Complex industrials. Synthesize technical literature that generalists can't or won't access.

Get to truth in domains that require deep knowledge.

Belief-Reality Mismatch⚖️

Where efficiency is relative

Large caps. Covered names. Extract what the market believes. Find where consensus is wrong.

Find where the market is efficiently wrong.

THE INFORMATION UNIVERSE

Cross-domain synthesis.
Not just search.

12K+
Corporate
Filings & transcripts
3K+
Regulatory
ACCC, ASIC, Senate
8K+
Research
Broker reports
15K+
Academic
Papers & studies
2K+
Legal
Cases & rulings
Live
News
Real-time feeds

A filing says one thing. A regulatory inquiry says another. Academic research contradicts both. That's where edge lives.

CONTINUOUS MONITORING

Research is point-in-time.
We keep watching.

We identify what would confirm or refute the thesis—then monitor for exactly those signals across all domains.

THESIS MONITORS
ACCC → "structural remedy"0 hits
Management → tone shift2 signals
Competitor → share claims1 hit
Last scan: 12 minutes ago

Built by fundamental investors.

We spent careers reading filings and wondering what would happen if we could systematize the judgment. Now we're building it.